The Use of Time Series in Predicting the Role of the Applied College, Khamis Mushait Branch (Female Students), in Meeting the Labor Market's Demand for Intermediate Jobs Over the Next Ten Years (2025-2035)

Abstract

The study revealed that technical and administrative disciplines such as Information Systems, Application Development, Cybersecurity, and Business Administration are the most aligned with labor market needs in the Asir region. In contrast, some programs, such as Beekeeping and Forest Technology, recorded low employment rates. The results showed an increase in student admissions until 1448 AH, followed by a stabilization at 3,223 female students annually, indicating a balance between supply and demand in the future. Additionally, the findings indicated a statistically significant positive correlation between the number of admitted students at the Applied College and the labor market demands in the Asir region. This suggests that higher admissions are associated with increased demand for the college's offered disciplines. Furthermore, time series forecasting showed that the number of admitted students will stabilize at 3,223 annually after 1448 AH. This trend may be due to market saturation or the stabilization of the college’s capacity.